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MYTH NUMBER ONE - "Big earthquakes
always happen in the morning" Several recent damaging earthquakes
HAVE happened in the early morning hours so many people assume that all
big earthquakes happened then. In fact, earthquakes occur at all times
during the day. The 1933 Long Beach earthquake was a 5:54 p.m. and the
1940 Imperial Valley event was at 9:36 p.m. Even recently, the 1990 Upland
earthquake was at 3:43 p.m. and the 1989 Loma Prieta event was at 5:02
p.m. It is easy to notice the earthquakes that fit the pattern and forget
about the ones that don't.
MYTH NUMBER TWO - "It's hot and dry - earthquake
weather!" Many people believe that earthquakes are more common in
certain kinds of weather. In fact, no correlation with weather has been
found. Earthquakes begin many kilometers below the region affected by
surface weather. People tend to notice earthquakes that fit the pattern
and forget the ones that don't. Also, every region of the world has a
story about earthquake weather, but the type of weather is whatever they
had for their most memorable earthquake.
MYTH NUMBER THREE - "Beachfront property in Arizona." The idea of California falling into the ocean has had an enduring
appeal to those envious of the life in the Golden State. Of course, the
ocean is not a great hole into which California can fall, but it is itself
land at a somewhat lower elevation with water above it. The motion of
plates will not make California sink - California is moving horizontally
along the San Andreas fault and up around the Transverse Ranges.
MYTH NUMBER FOUR - "We have good building codes so we
must have good buildings." The tragedy in Kobe, Japan, one year
after the Northridge earthquake, painfully reminds us that the best
building codes in the world do nothing for buildings built before the code
was enacted. Fixing problems in older buildings (retrofitting) is the
responsibility of the building's owner.
MYTH NUMBER FIVE - "Head for the doorway!" An
enduring earthquake image of California is a collapsed adobe home with the
door frame as the only standing part. From this came our belief that a
doorway is the safest place to be during an earthquake. True - if you live
in an old, unreinforced adobe house. In modern houses, doorways are no
stronger than any other part of the house and usually have doors that will
swing and can injure you. You are safer under a table.
MYTH NUMBER SIX - "My friend knows someone at Caltech
and he says they have just called the mayor..." Within a few days
after every significant earthquake, a rumor will begin to circulate that
"Cal. Tech." has predicted a "major" earthquake for some time in the near
future.
Neither Caltech, its scientists, nor the scientists of any
other research organization in southern California have ever successfully
predicted an earthquake's time within days, nor do they know how, or
expect to know how, any time in the foreseeable future. Caltech denies
these rumors each time, but since part of the rumor is that "they are
keeping it quiet to prevent a panic," this is not always effective.
One source of confusion is that probabilities are estimated from
the rate of aftershocks and these are sometimes confused with the
prediction of a particular event.
MYTH NUMBER SEVEN - "And the earth opened..." A popular literary device is a fault that opens during an
earthquake to swallow up an inconvenient character. But unfortunately for
principled writers, gaping faults exist only in novels.
The ground
moves across a fault during an earthquake, not away from it. If the fault
could open there would be no friction. Without friction, there would be no
earthquakes.
MYTH NUMBER EIGHT - The vertical earthquake. Some people think that because the Northridge earthquake happened
on a thrust fault, lifting up the northern San Fernando Valley, that the
shaking must have been vertical. This is like saying that because your
thumb moves up when snapping your fingers, the air vibrating in your ear
when you hear the snap is also vibrating vertically. In fact, as in all
earthquakes, the horizontal shaking in the Northridge earthquake was on
average twice as large as the vertical shaking.
Sources: Federal Emergency Management
Agency National Science Foundation United States Geological Survey
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